there are cheaters to be sure, but, how would someone rated 1500 or lower cheat and not raise their rating to 2800? i struggle to find a plausible explanation.
they could cheat, say, every 10th game. since you like stats, what would be the odds you played 22 players in a row who were on their 10th game where they cheated, rather than the 9 other games where they had a 50/50 chance of losing to you?
they could purposely lose every second game and cheat every second game to maintain their low rating, I don't know why anyone would do that, but still, what are the odds you faced 22 players in a row who were on their cheat round?
or maybe you faced 22 players in a row who just started cheating, and you were their first opponent. what are the odds on that? also they would be now 2800 and raising eyebrows as a previously low rated player wins 100s of games in a row and increased their rating 2000 points.
occasionally I get suspicious, sometimes because during the game I feel my opponent is playing superhuman moves, but whenever I analyse one of those games I see they blundered every second move and I didn't see it at the time, so didn't take advantage of their blunder.
the other times I get suspicious is after I move my opponent goes offline for 10 seconds.
but very rarely, like maybe once per year, I get a notification I lost to a cheater. I believe at my level, it's rare to lose to a cheater based on 1 data point.
there are cheaters to be sure, but, how would someone rated 1500 or lower cheat and not raise their rating to 2800? i struggle to find a plausible explanation.
they could cheat, say, every 10th game. since you like stats, what would be the odds you played 22 players in a row who were on their 10th game where they cheated, rather than the 9 other games where they had a 50/50 chance of losing to you?
they could purposely lose every second game and cheat every second game to maintain their low rating, I don't know why anyone would do that, but still, what are the odds you faced 22 players in a row who were on their cheat round?
or maybe you faced 22 players in a row who just started cheating, and you were their first opponent. what are the odds on that? also they would be now 2800 and raising eyebrows as a previously low rated player wins 100s of games in a row and increased their rating 2000 points.
occasionally I get suspicious, sometimes because during the game I feel my opponent is playing superhuman moves, but whenever I analyse one of those games I see they blundered every second move and I didn't see it at the time, so didn't take advantage of their blunder.
the other times I get suspicious is after I move my opponent goes offline for 10 seconds.
but very rarely, like maybe once per year, I get a notification I lost to a cheater. I believe at my level, it's rare to lose to a cheater based on 1 data point.