I had this curiosity.
Suppose a player (or a bot) randomly chooses one of their legal moves at every turn.
What would be the rating of such player?
100? 200?
Are there lichess bots that do just that?
I had this curiosity.
Suppose a player (or a bot) randomly chooses one of their legal moves at every turn.
What would be the rating of such player?
100? 200?
Are there lichess bots that do just that?
There are bots that do that, but they can only play unrated games, because making random moves violates the terms of service.
There are bots that do that, but they can only play unrated games, because making random moves violates the terms of service.
With the ELO system there is a formula for the expected win rate when the difference in ELO score has a certain value. I'm not 100% sure we can use the same for glicko2 but let's do it anyway and hope for the best So we can ask ourselves, how likely is a randomly moving bot to beat a player rated say 1000 and then we can find the appropriate difference.
I personally think the 1000 player has likely >99.99% chance of winning unless they are throwing. This would give a rating difference of about 1600, so it should have ELO -600. However since lichess has put a minimum rating floor of 400 that would be where it ended up.
With the ELO system there is a formula for the expected win rate when the difference in ELO score has a certain value. I'm not 100% sure we can use the same for glicko2 but let's do it anyway and hope for the best So we can ask ourselves, how likely is a randomly moving bot to beat a player rated say 1000 and then we can find the appropriate difference.
I personally think the 1000 player has likely >99.99% chance of winning unless they are throwing. This would give a rating difference of about 1600, so it should have ELO -600. However since lichess has put a minimum rating floor of 400 that would be where it ended up.