@what_game_is_this said in #24:
This is just pro-Russian propaganda.
In 2024 Russia gained 4000 km2, in just 120 years they will occupy all of Ukraine. (As blitzkrieg goes that's not very impressive.) That is, if they can continue the war. Russian economy gets worse all the time. It is impossible for them to continue for a long war.
Ukraine still have forces in Kursk. If Russia can't expel them, how are they winning?
"Russia’s Artillery Advantage in the Ukraine War Is Slipping Away"
www.19fortyfive.com/2025/01/russias-artillery-advantage-in-the-ukraine-war-is-slipping-away/
No, if Ukraine is supported well enough Russia will fizzle away.
Russian warfare is slow and methodical - they possess total air superiority and artillery superiority, have a 5-6x bigger pool of manpower, their own domestic defense industry, and they have all the time in the world. Since they are the attackers, moving aggressively will result in an inordinate amount of casualties, and the smartest way to fight the war is to methodically soften the objective right in front of them, and then move in and take it.
This is also reflected in certain battles like the famous Bakhmut -- the secondary goal of Bakhmut was to capture the land. The primary goal was to create as many Ukrainian casualties as possible, and thus the battle was drawn out, with Wagner's prison units slowly assaulting and even being used as bait to draw in more Ukrainians into what they thought would be a successful defense and ultimate victory.
Russia knows that the Ukrainians will run out of men exponentially sooner than them. They also know that Ukraine can't afford to rotate and rest soldiers much, and each passing day the situation becomes a little more difficult.
It would be irresponsible for them to fight in any other way than the one they are fighting in now.
The gambit of taking Kursk as some kind of bargaining chip was the very best option that Zelenskyy had. It made sense as a concept:
- Trump could become President
- Trump really could try to strongarm the Russians into a deal and threaten to intervene on a larger scale if the Russians don't accept a trade of Kursk for LPR/DPR, and the other oblasts would return to Ukraine.
It's a small chance, but it was literally the only conceivable scenario that they would be able to end the war on agreeable terms.
Ukraine will have elections if Russia withdraws and end the war. Why not suggest this? A peaceful Russia would mean:
No war.
No need to support Ukraine.
No battlefield losses for Russia or Ukraine.
No civilian losses due to Russian terror bombings.
The sanctions would end meaning better Russian economy.
If Ukraine wasn't included because their propaganda why was Russia included. Is their propaganda good enough?
If elections are important for negotiations why was Russia included? Their sham elections can't be good enough?
Why not have equal conditions? The reasons are just excuses to fool simpletons.
Why not have equal conditions? Is this a joke?
You don't lose a boxing match and then try to negotiate with the winner - "Give me half your winnings - you couldn't have won today unless I was here to lose to you..!"
The smartest move would have been avoiding the ousting of Yanukovych and letting the democratic process slowly play out.
The next smartest move would have been to adequately punish the aggressors in the Odessa guild hall incident and desperately try to hold Ukraine together by appeasing Russian speakers and ethnic Russians, doing everything possible to avoid armed conflict in 2014-2015...
And then there was the chance to abide by the Minsk II protocols and to be dead serious in negotiating a resolution to the LPR/DPR...
In retrospect, it would have been preferable to allow them to breakaway. Yes, a total loss of land and territorial integirty of Ukraine, but without hundreds of thousands of dead and maimed...
But someone had a little CIA/MI5 bird whispering in their ear and thought they could rumble with Russia. Unless NATO pilots are going to be flying over Ukraine 24/7 and the US Navy's Fifth Fleet is going to be deployed to the Black Sea, this is a completely insane proposition...
But Zelenskyy and his inner circle took it.
The results speak for themselves.
@what_game_is_this said in #24:
> This is just pro-Russian propaganda.
> In 2024 Russia gained 4000 km2, in just 120 years they will occupy all of Ukraine. (As blitzkrieg goes that's not very impressive.) That is, if they can continue the war. Russian economy gets worse all the time. It is impossible for them to continue for a long war.
>
> Ukraine still have forces in Kursk. If Russia can't expel them, how are they winning?
>
> "Russia’s Artillery Advantage in the Ukraine War Is Slipping Away"
> www.19fortyfive.com/2025/01/russias-artillery-advantage-in-the-ukraine-war-is-slipping-away/
>
> No, if Ukraine is supported well enough Russia will fizzle away.
>
Russian warfare is slow and methodical - they possess total air superiority and artillery superiority, have a 5-6x bigger pool of manpower, their own domestic defense industry, and they have all the time in the world. Since they are the attackers, moving aggressively will result in an inordinate amount of casualties, and the smartest way to fight the war is to methodically soften the objective right in front of them, and then move in and take it.
This is also reflected in certain battles like the famous Bakhmut -- the secondary goal of Bakhmut was to capture the land. The primary goal was to create as many Ukrainian casualties as possible, and thus the battle was drawn out, with Wagner's prison units slowly assaulting and even being used as bait to draw in more Ukrainians into what they thought would be a successful defense and ultimate victory.
Russia knows that the Ukrainians will run out of men exponentially sooner than them. They also know that Ukraine can't afford to rotate and rest soldiers much, and each passing day the situation becomes a little more difficult.
It would be irresponsible for them to fight in any other way than the one they are fighting in now.
The gambit of taking Kursk as some kind of bargaining chip was the very best option that Zelenskyy had. It made sense as a concept:
- Trump could become President
- Trump really could try to strongarm the Russians into a deal and threaten to intervene on a larger scale if the Russians don't accept a trade of Kursk for LPR/DPR, and the other oblasts would return to Ukraine.
It's a small chance, but it was literally the only conceivable scenario that they would be able to end the war on agreeable terms.
>
>
> Ukraine will have elections if Russia withdraws and end the war. Why not suggest this? A peaceful Russia would mean:
> No war.
> No need to support Ukraine.
> No battlefield losses for Russia or Ukraine.
> No civilian losses due to Russian terror bombings.
> The sanctions would end meaning better Russian economy.
>
> If Ukraine wasn't included because their propaganda why was Russia included. Is their propaganda good enough?
> If elections are important for negotiations why was Russia included? Their sham elections can't be good enough?
>
> Why not have equal conditions? The reasons are just excuses to fool simpletons.
Why not have equal conditions? Is this a joke?
You don't lose a boxing match and then try to negotiate with the winner - "Give me half your winnings - you couldn't have won today unless I was here to lose to you..!"
The smartest move would have been avoiding the ousting of Yanukovych and letting the democratic process slowly play out.
The next smartest move would have been to adequately punish the aggressors in the Odessa guild hall incident and desperately try to hold Ukraine together by appeasing Russian speakers and ethnic Russians, doing everything possible to avoid armed conflict in 2014-2015...
And then there was the chance to abide by the Minsk II protocols and to be dead serious in negotiating a resolution to the LPR/DPR...
In retrospect, it would have been preferable to allow them to breakaway. Yes, a total loss of land and territorial integirty of Ukraine, but without hundreds of thousands of dead and maimed...
But someone had a little CIA/MI5 bird whispering in their ear and thought they could rumble with Russia. Unless NATO pilots are going to be flying over Ukraine 24/7 and the US Navy's Fifth Fleet is going to be deployed to the Black Sea, this is a completely insane proposition...
But Zelenskyy and his inner circle took it.
The results speak for themselves.