Forgive me for the clickbait title ;)
This is a project I cooked up yesterday and I think the results are pretty interesting. I pulled a month's worth of lichess games from database.lichess.org and tracket at what times blunders were most likely to occur.
Here is a sample graph:
And here is the full project with a writeup:
github.com/Antiochian/chess-blunders/blob/main/README.md
There are some interesting features of this graph to discuss here, but the main one I want to talk about is the big bump at the 20second mark, where players all of a sudden start blundering all over the place. Can it really be a coincidence that this moment of panic is the exact same time that the lichess low-time alarm beeps and the clock flashes red?
For 5 min game, the bump appears at 40 seconds, while for 10 minute games it appears at the 60 second mark - all, I believe, the exact times of the low-time alarm for the various time controls! Even 2000+ ELO players are not immune to this effect - if you click the above link, you can see graphs for all ELOs and all time controls. Hope you enjoy!
Do you have any other interesting insights/thoughts about my data you can share?
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.
.
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PS: if you are curious about the other features of the graph (eg: the dip at 90s which is caused by Beserk players) then a more thorough explanation of the various bumps and so on is included on the github page.
This is a project I cooked up yesterday and I think the results are pretty interesting. I pulled a month's worth of lichess games from database.lichess.org and tracket at what times blunders were most likely to occur.
Here is a sample graph:
And here is the full project with a writeup:
github.com/Antiochian/chess-blunders/blob/main/README.md
There are some interesting features of this graph to discuss here, but the main one I want to talk about is the big bump at the 20second mark, where players all of a sudden start blundering all over the place. Can it really be a coincidence that this moment of panic is the exact same time that the lichess low-time alarm beeps and the clock flashes red?
For 5 min game, the bump appears at 40 seconds, while for 10 minute games it appears at the 60 second mark - all, I believe, the exact times of the low-time alarm for the various time controls! Even 2000+ ELO players are not immune to this effect - if you click the above link, you can see graphs for all ELOs and all time controls. Hope you enjoy!
Do you have any other interesting insights/thoughts about my data you can share?
.
.
.
.
.
PS: if you are curious about the other features of the graph (eg: the dip at 90s which is caused by Beserk players) then a more thorough explanation of the various bumps and so on is included on the github page.