@possum_hollow said in #10:
> Thank you for the lecture, nadjarostowa. I will keep that in mind.
>
> However, the fact that 100% of the cheaters I had previously reported were banned for cheating lends a small amount of confidence that I am correct. I can only look at the simple probabilities, as I have no interest in delving into the intricacies of cheating. When a 1200 rated player runs off 15 games in a row at >95% accuracy, I have some idea of the probability for this to be achieved either through skill, or by assisted means.
If Grandmasters (Kramnik) can't reliably detect when people are cheating, it's the height of the Dunning-Kruger effect to have such confidence in your own ability to detect cheating.
I'm maybe right about people cheating 10% of the time, even if it doesn't feel that way. More often than not, it's just a case that I'm tilted and far overestimate my own abilities.
> Thank you for the lecture, nadjarostowa. I will keep that in mind.
>
> However, the fact that 100% of the cheaters I had previously reported were banned for cheating lends a small amount of confidence that I am correct. I can only look at the simple probabilities, as I have no interest in delving into the intricacies of cheating. When a 1200 rated player runs off 15 games in a row at >95% accuracy, I have some idea of the probability for this to be achieved either through skill, or by assisted means.
If Grandmasters (Kramnik) can't reliably detect when people are cheating, it's the height of the Dunning-Kruger effect to have such confidence in your own ability to detect cheating.
I'm maybe right about people cheating 10% of the time, even if it doesn't feel that way. More often than not, it's just a case that I'm tilted and far overestimate my own abilities.