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statistical paradox

Hey guys,

I just tried the chess insights recently, and combined the "average centipawn loss" with the "move time".

Wonder if you get the same results, but the outcome is that I'm loosing 2* less centipawns when thinking less than 1 seconds than when thinking 10-30 seconds!!
Maybe because in times when the *right* move is obvious, you have to barely think at all?
one reason might be, in non-increment blitz, you often make moves very fast in the endgame, and the endgame typically has the lowest centipawn loss (for example if you are checkmating some dude with a couple items then there's virtually no centipawn loss).
The more complicated the position is, the more time you probably spend thinking about it.
Yeah, this pattern is actually pretty common.

First, for most players the vast majority of moves played very quickly are obvious moves like recaptures, only legal moves, etc., or known good moves like learned opening theory.

Second, people tend to spend more time on moves when they aren't familiar with a position or more generally just are uncertain about what to do (sort of the flip side of the first point).

Taken together these two things result in that pattern holding for a lot, maybe most, players.

Cheers!
Damn heretics! can't you see the evidence?

it means that good moves are related to faith, not thinking!!

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