Predicting the 2020 USA election!

Let's do a informal opinion polling on lichess for the 2020 elections.

People who will vote for TRUMP will hit the thumbs up button and people who vote for BIDEN will press the thumbs down button.

To calibrate the above polling effective, people who voted in the above poll should also tell which way did they vote (or intended to vote) in 2016 election. Thumbs up button for TRUMP and Thumbs down button for CLINTON.

bro you put thumbs down two times

Polling open file first 100 votes, then I will make the prediction and then we will compare it with the actual result on Nov 4.

@ALEKOUS37 Thanks for these collection, updated the mistake.

I hope you know that this is an international community and your poll is about as accurate as one where we vote on what Trump ate for breakfast today.

@ProfDrHack well, apparently the international community was very active in the 2016 election.
And surely he had McDonald's for breakfast.

This is a fun little exercise not intended to replace actual expert survey/analysis. I thought it might be good idea to do a hands on naive intuitive data analysis to see what/what does not work. To account for bias of participation by international audience, I have asked a follow up 2016 election question. @ProfDrHack

@ManishPlaysChess what about you?

@increment0 I am not from USA hence have not polled above.