lichess.org
Donate

Which would be my rating if I play tournaments?

It's very difficult to correlate OTB and Online ratings, the best way to find your OTB strength is to just play tournaments. There's lots of players who are much stronger online than they are OTB, and lots of players who are much stronger OTB than they are online. It's especially difficult to try and predict your OTB strength with Blitz & Bullet ratings - Lichess Classical ratings could at least give you a tiny hint (maybe).
<Comment deleted by user>
First of all mad respect for fighting the matrix. Coincidence i asked myself the same question lately;
Online and OTB felt like two completely different games. When I switched to OTB it subjectively felt playing chess half blind recognizing 50% of the tactics and having 50% calculating ability left.

Short answer; my guess would be around 2000-2200 after one month when played 80 hours Classical/Rapid OTB.

Theoretical answer;
From a neurocognitive point of view, ''Cognitive mapping theory'' may partially explain the effect on performance between online and OTB chess. Cognitive maps serve the construction and accumulation of spatial knowledge perceived on the chessboard, allowing the ''mind's eye'' to visualize moves and patterns on the board in order to reduce cognitive load, enhance recall and learning of information. The term for improve/adapt neurologically to OTB is called ''Priming'' and the general way to stimulate it is through playing OTB exposing yourself to the 'new' board and patterns. You could hypothese from this theory, that you achieve the highest performance on a tournament when you train and prepare with similar looking and sized chessboard with similar chess pieces and game clock.
To my knowledge their is no data out to assume this is true. It might as well be caused by other factors, it's hard to say because their is barely research done on this specific topic.

You can also answer this question from a statistical perspective, their are a few statistical surveys out that suggest that the average user on Lichess with a rating 2600-2700 on Blitz and Bullet is around 2400-2450 FIDE rated. The difference is that I think the average 2600-2700 Blitz/bullet player on Lichess have much more experience OTB and in a classical time format.
Perhaps a 2400-2450+ rating could be a the potential to reach, when u waste a lot of time practicing chess.
One remarkable thing found is that online Blitz rating has the tightest correlation with FIDE classical rating.

- Cognitive map theory; en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_map
- Statistical links perhaps you already looked on one of these; chessgoals.com/rating-comparison/
www.reddit.com/r/lichess/comments/mdvbkp/yet_another_lichess_vs_fide_rating_comparison/
ethanlebowitz.github.io/RatingConverter/index.html
a rough guess would be 2000-2300 but I analyzed some of your rapid games and you had a 10-20 average center pawn loss! that is very good most top gms have 10-20 so I would say if u played more rapid you would be a strong 2300. if you really dedicated yourself you could become a cm but would have to spend a lot of time in tournaments.

free top G.