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The fake snow forecast

This is a Southern U.S. tradition. Four days out a 3" snow is forecasted. Two days later the forecast is revised to a chance of a dusting. Dashing the hopes of people who annually do not experience a snowstorm.

I will commiserate my disappointment by reading under "snowstorm" in Britannica and use my imagination.
@morphyms1817 said in #1:
> This is a Southern U.S. tradition. Four days out a 3" snow is forecasted. Two days later the forecast is revised to a chance of a dusting. Dashing the hopes of people who annually do not experience a snowstorm.
>
> I will commiserate my disappointment by reading under "snowstorm" in Britannica and use my imagination.
no snow here ever here so I don't even know how snow looks like
In Great Britain in 1987 we were told on the weather forecast that there would be no wind! Then we had the well known 1987 hurricane (true story).
#1

Animals rooked by this chicanery, too. Squirrels and birds paid me no mind as I encroached on their foraging.

"Hey Bud, noticed you roustin' up them nuts 'n berries. You do know this is the fake snow forecast?"

"Excuse me Mr Busybody, like I'm going into the nest tonight empty-pawed and a storm forecasted? The missus will turn me out on my ear!!"

@A_0123456
@dukedog
@rachel8
@morphyms1817 said in #1:
> This is a Southern U.S. tradition. Four days out a 3" snow is forecasted. Two days later the forecast is revised to a chance of a dusting. Dashing the hopes of people who annually do not experience a snowstorm.
>
> I will commiserate my disappointment by reading under "snowstorm" in Britannica and use my imagination.

It could go either way. December 2017, my place got 6 inches when the forecast was 1-3.

The ECMWF and GFS model both say 1-3 inches around the Atlanta area.
AccuWeather says anything below I-20 will get a dusting

I check the models and hourly forecast every day.

What I'm seeing here is that we're as likely to get a dusting as we are to get 5 inches. ie dang near unpredictable

Just wait and watch as 35 mph winds + snow cause a whiteout in Atlanta

Realistically, it's probably going to be an inch or two of snow and 1⁄4 of an inch of ice
The models seem to be saying the same thing.
An inch of snow in Atlanta metro
2-3 in the north suburbs (Marietta, Kennesaw, Alpharetta, etc.)

The 4-7 AM window is important. The temperature normally has to be just above freezing for wintry mix/snow to fall.
Normally around 34-35 degrees.

The thing is: much of the north suburbs of Atlanta are going to be right around that range in the border line.

This means that there could be a lot of snow or wintry mix between 4 and 7 AM (up to 3 inches). But there could just be a lot of rain that freezes later in the day and only 2-3 inches of snow without the additional 3.

Atlanta metro will probably get 1 inch, perhaps 2, the 34-degree border doesn't apply

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