My Road to Improvement: to 2350 and beyond!

Who am I: I am a chess enthusiast looking to get to master strength within the next 2 - 5 years.
I've previously done a blog on chess.com but mostly because there was no blog function on lichess at the time. Over time, I lost motivation, as there were other things occupying my mind, but I found a lot of value, and would like to begin the grind again.

Current ratings:
1467 FIDE (this is ultimately the only important one)
1580 National
2220 lichess rapid (peak 2268)
~ 2100 lichess blitz (peak 2171)
~ 2000 lichess classical
I'm not looking to improve my bullet rating.

Goals for Jan 1st, 2022:
1550 FIDE (depending on circumstances)
1650 national (^^^)
at least peak 2350 Rapid
Perhaps 2200 Blitz? Will talk more on this.
I have no specific goals for my classical rating at this point in time.

How I'll get there:
I consider myself somewhat underrated - but then again, everyone thinks they should be above where they are, and by default, the reality is reflected more or less in the rating!

Let me start by laying down where I think are my main areas for improvement:

1) To avoid playing hope chess/playing outside my means. By far my biggest problem is that I can be far too ambitious and aggressive without logical foundation; I try to start a braindead attack when my opponent has done nothing unsound, and at the levels I'm trying to reach this is usually punished, or I see a nice potential tactical motif and suddenly abandon reason to try and make it work.

This is how a barbarian plays chess, without respect for his opponent, and while it may have worked for players like Greco and Morphy, I am not such a spectacular stand-out talent that I can expect to make these operations work against people who are actually serious.

***2) Lapses in concentration. ***I think all chess players can relate; simply, I need to have them less often. Obviously elimination is not a practical goal but I believe the only way to reduce blunders is to try not to make any at all!
So, you have to do at least a preliminary check before you make each move; get out of your head for a second and just look at the board and make sure you're not hanging something.

3) Realising and evaluating my opponents plans and opportunities. Sometimes I forget chess is a two player game, and when my opponent makes a move I simply play my response and evaluate their move afterwards. I've been bitten by this many times, especially in "winning" positions, that my opponent finds a resource I've overlooked, and suddenly the game is not at all the way I thought it was.

Although I don't see myself as arrogant I definitely think I have some lazy tendencies due to some stupid idea that I am "underrated" and should be able to win. Everyone is beatable, but I shouldn't expect to be able to multitask and, for example, beat a 2400 rated rapid player. I believe I am capable of much better chess than I currently play, but unless I can prove that, these are just words with no meaning.

I have a fairly good intuition; that is to say, I think the right move springs to mind about 70 - 80% of the time in normal positions. However, generally speaking, this is not true where the right move is prophylactic or requires some nuance. (I think this could probably be said for most players of 2200 strength.)

This has always been a problem for me and in the past, in trying to fix this problem, I've gone too much the other way, trying to stop every small idea the opponent has and not playing assertively enough.

How I will train:
I will primarily focus on playing and going over my games; I'll make note of which moves I feel are wrong and after the game I'll go over it with Stockfish and see if it agrees with me. If I make errors I will make note of them in a blog post and try and categorise the reason for the mistake.
I will aim to play between 1 - 5 10+5 rapid games per training day and post them on the blog.

I'll do about 3 tactics on chesstempo.com, and record the time it took me to solve them. Lichess puzzles are okay but I find not quite as good as chesstempo (hopefully that's okay to say explicitly on this site ;) ) I will also do some lichess puzzles and perhaps puzzle storm when I feel like it, but these won't be part of my training. I'll post them on the blog as well.

I will also go over some games played by famous players/world champions. At the moment I am focussing on solid players from the past, such as Tarrasch, Petrosian, and perhaps next Capablanca. Basically, I will be trying to guess the moves they make in the middle/endgame, as if I am playing in their shoes. For this, I'll be using a site called "playgrandmasters.com" because it is easier to use than importing the pgn and trying not to look at the moves ahead.
Afterwards I'll review, look for the reason their move was better, and see what Stockfish has to say about my move, and of course I'll share the game on the blog ;)

I will not train this way every day; it can get to be an overthinking frenzy. I will aim to train every other day, with fun chess stuff and some semi-serious blitz occupying the off days. (As well as things like, you know, going outside and having a life and stuff)

Why will my training involve Stockfish?
It is often recommended for players trying to improve not to rely too heavily on engines to review their games.
For me, the main reason is, I can usually understand the reason for Stockfish's suggestions, and I can usually determine whether or not its "best move" or evaluation is relevant.
That being said, it is an objective benchmark by which I can assess whether my understanding of the critical moments in the position is correct or not.
I don't aspire to ever play like Stockfish, thankfully, but I believe it is a useful tool to help one improve, used properly. (And, of course, never during the game!)

2350 may seem like a lofty goal just based on the number but the blunt reality is that lichess ratings are highly overinflated, so 2350 rapid is nothing special in the world of serious tournament players. It is also true that online success does not always translate into OTB success, but I don't believe that means I should abandon my studies online just because it is hard for me to train OTB at the moment; that would be an excuse, and besides knowledge is knowledge; it can't all be for nought when all's said and done!

With that, I have stayed up pretty late to post this; I'm hoping to get stuck into training tomorrow, so want to get a good night's sleep.

I'll leave you with some OTB games I've played recently:

My only game with a GM to date:

A chaotic draw, with missed opportunities:

My most recent tournament game:

Looking forward to starting the grind!